by caseydog » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:37 am
The fundamental thing to remember is that the US and Yurp are not the only big users of oil anymore. China, India and other emerging industrialized nations are creating new demand at a rapid pace.
Oil reserves, even if they are there, are not something you tap like turning on a faucet. Exploration that is started today, will not bear fruit for years -- sometimes decades, depending where the exploration is located.
Also, all the easy-to-get oil in the US is pretty much gone. And, putting regulations aside, until oil companies are sure they can make a profit, they are not going to invest in hard-to-get oil. That was the case in the 90s, when oil prices were low. It made better business sense to buy from the Middle East than to drill in ANWR and deep offshore fields.
The largest oil reserves we have in North America are found in Tar Sands, and getting oil out of tar sands is not an easy, cheap, or environmentally friendly process.
And, as for nuclear, Americans seem to be conflicted on it. I look at the issue, and can see valid arguments on both sides of the debate. It is not one of those debates where one side is clearly right, and the other clearly wrong. I think there is a place for Nuclear in the overall picture, but it will not be appropriate for every sector of the nation. For example, I don't care what proponents say, I think it would be foolish to build a nuclear plant in areas along the west coast crisscrossed with major fault lines. But in areas like Nevada and West Texas, perhaps it makes sense.
But, technologies like solar are making great advances in cost and efficiency, and might make good sense for places like Phoenix, Arizona.
Wind farms are pooping up in north-central Texas like weeds, and hold a lot of promise.
But, I also can't ignore the idea that maybe, just maybe, we waste too much energy, too. Talk about conservation seems to be fightin' words at times, but conservation is the "low-hanging fruit" in the supply and demand big picture.
I don't know about anyone else, but I don't want to be a slave to things beyond my control, so my own "energy policy" is to find new ways to be less dependent on oil and electricity in the future. My next house will be smaller, and packed with high-efficiency measures. My next car will be more fuel efficient. When my water-heater goes out (just about due), I'll replace it with an on-demand unit that uses less gas.
Maybe part of the solution nationally is for each individual/family to establish their own "energy policies" that make a positive impact on the supply and demand picture.
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