mikeschn wrote:Inflation is spiraling out of control thanks to all the dollars that Bernanke is pumping into the system.
And I suspect before it's all over, we will have ended up with a nasty case of Stagnant Economic Growth as well as nasty inflation (some even think we will end up with hyper-inflation).
I'm curious to hear what you guys are doing to protect yourself against inflation. Are you stocking up your food pantry at yesterday's prices? Are you buying gold so that your savings account keeps up with the inflation? Are you planning on a more frugal car so you don't have to buy as much gas?
Mike...
P.S. And last but not least, do you think our fiat system is at risk, and do you think we will see implementation of the Amero?
Well, I'm not convinced that current inflation is caused by the rate cuts from the Fed. Fuel prices are affecting everything from gas in our cars, to products on the store shelves. I think oil prices are more of a culprit than the Fed's actions. The Bush Administration's weak dollar policy hasn't helped, either. It was supposed to increase exports, which it has to some degree, but it also makes consumer prices higher (at least in the short term) and consumers are the engines of our consumption economy.
I don't know how much good the rate cuts will do, BTW. People are paying more for necessities, like gasoline and food. They aren't buying more of the stuff that keeps the economy going. Our economy went from agrarian, to industrial, to service, and finally to consumption over the last century or so. For a consumption-based economy to prosper, consumers have to have disposable income to spend -- or at least have a good supply of credit.
For years, folks have been pulling equity out of their homes to buy more stuff. Well, that excess equity is gone, in a lot of places. Low interest rates on Home Equity loans don't help if you no longer have the equity to borrow against. Credit cards are getting close to being maxed out, too, for a record number of people. Our economy has been floated pretty extensively on credit cards. A credit card crisis may be the next financial "crisis" after the mortgage crisis that has still not come to an end.
Not to mention, real income for most Americans has been stagnant for decades, when adjusted for inflation. Only the very wealthy are making big gains in income these days. They can only consume so much -- the rest is surplus that sits in bank accounts and investment portfolios and accumulates more wealth for them.
My own plan right now is to pay off debt as quickly as possible, and cut back on my consumption, primarily on things like gasoline. It's not a good thing for the economy as a whole for me to cut back on consumption and focus on paying off debt, but it is good for me. It's a catch 22 -- the economy needs me to go out and spend, spend, spend, but I am tired of that merry-go-round, and want to get off. I'm kind of tired of working my ass off to give my money to big corporations so that their executives can take home millions of dollars while laying other workers off.
Anyway, I'm not too worried about runaway inflation due to Fed policy. I do expect the oil market to get tighter, and keep prices going up more often than down. So, I see inflation being in our future for some time, but not runaway inflation. Of course, a major world event, like the US invading Iran upsetting the oil markets, could throw a wild card on the table.
I think we have tough times coming, as we "pay the piper" for our living large on borrowed money, but runaway inflation is not one of my worries.
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